Romney will not over-perform. This is the first debate, so expect Romney to pace himself. He knows that if he appears confident and competent, he wins in a walk. He won’t deliver a knockout. He’ll keep with his normal pace, which will frustrate political addicts, but it will play well to middle Americans.
Romney will surprise people. There will be some surprises, like we saw today with his announcement that he would not reverse Obama’s suspension of deportations for illegal immigrants who came to America as children. Expect something along the lines of more specific economic or tax policy.
Obama will bullshit the truth. It’s his stock and trade, so expect more of it. He, Messina, and Axelrod have no doubt come up with some fuzzy numbers to minimize his failed economic policies or maximize his accomplishments. He will also straight up lie about some part of or the whole of Romney’s record.
Obama will come across as a dick. He will deploy fear to his demographic groups. While he’s telling people that Romney doesn’t want to be the President of all Americans, he’ll be busy protecting his demographic assets–that is, the people he considers himself president of. While he’s busy telling people of how Romney will play class warfare, he will be deploying his own class warfare. He will slip in and out of false dialects and accents as he accuses Romney of being a liar.
The press will spin the story outrageously. No matter what happens or who wins or loses the debate, the outcome according to the press is predetermined. Obama has won already. You can watch the debate itself on C-SPAN to avoid this mess, and also a Debate Review after to see what serious people are saying. You can always switch back and forth with CNN and MSNBC to see what the idiots are saying, or to watch Tweety’s head explode.
- Drink every time Obama says “Let me be clear…”
- Drink every time Obama starts a response with “Uh….”
- Drink every time Obama lies or tells a half-truth.
- Drink every time Romney or Obama says “President of all Americans…”
- Drink every time Romney does that smile-snarl he gets whenever he knows a question is loaded or his opponent walks into a trap.
If you follows those five simple rules, you’ll be passed out by the end of the debate and you won’t care who wins. YouTube exists for a reason, you know.
This is an open thread.